More Americans Ready to Switch from Cars to Transit; Will Governments Help or Hinder Them?

Britt Gordon-McKeon

transitAs gas prices rise, decades-long trends in transportation in the U.S. are reversing. Public transit ridership in 2007 hit its highest rate in fifty years, while driving miles are on the decline for the first time since 1980. Americans drove fewer miles in May 2008 than the previous May, and that 3.7% decrease is the third-largest on record (the largest was the 4.3% drop between March 2007 and March 2008.)
 
Yet as drivers give up their cars and turn to public transit, transit agencies are struggling with underfunding and increased fuel costs, and many are responding by decreasing service and increasing fares:  
More than 90 percent of public-transit officials report that their ridership is up over the past three years, according to a survey released [in June] by the American Public Transportation Association (APTA). And more than 90 percent credited the sky-high gasoline prices.

At the same time, many transit agencies find themselves squeezed by the higher fuel prices and smaller local government subsidies, which are shrinking because of the economic downturn. Almost 70 percent have had to raise fares, and some have even been forced to curtail services to cope with the high energy prices, even as the demand is increasing.

"You've got a time in history where these agencies could be tapping a new market and attracting the suburban people who, heretofore, have been less likely to ride [public transit]," says Stephen Reich, director of the Center for Urban Transportation Research at the University of South Florida in Tampa. "Some agencies are even contracting service because of fuel costs and decreasing government support." - Christian Science Monitor

Yet fare increases and service cuts impede the ability to fully capitalize on higher demand for public transit. APTA modeling suggests that, on average, a ten percent increase in bus fares leads to a four percent decrease in ridership (source).
 
Rather than raising fares and cutting service, another way to address strained transit budgets would be increased government funding. But public investment in transit in the U.S. continues to trail spending on highways. According to A Better Way to Go, a report released in March by the U.S. PIRG Education Foundation, 2005 spending at all levels of government on highways, above the cost of "user fees" like tolls and fuel taxes, was $39 billion, compared to $30.9 billion for public transit. It adds:
Even if drivers were to pay the full cost of government's investment in highways, they would not come close to paying for the costs driving imposes on other members of society. These "externalities" – including health care costs from air pollution and highway accidents, congestion, and noise—represent a major portion of the cost of driving, and are paid for by the rest of society, not drivers. One recent study estimated the cost of these negative impacts at more than $2 per gallon of gasoline.
 
Most other industrialized countries require drivers to pay fuel taxes that are significantly higher than the cost of providing highway infrastructure. Every European nation except Hungary charges fuel taxes, tolls and user fees that more than cover the cost of providing highways, and in several countries highway users pay enough to cover the social costs of driving as well. - A Better Way to Go
There is public support for increased investment in transit; according to a 2006 report by the Center for Transportation Excellence:
CFTE analyzed more than 200 state and local ballot measures related to transportation since 2000. According to the report, voters in 33 different states have approved 70 percent of all proposed transportation measures generating funding conservatively estimated in the excess of $70 billion. Transportation measures have passed at twice the rate of all ballot measures.

"Few issues have consistently won the confidence and support of voters – regardless of region, community size, or party – as measures supporting public transportation," said CFTE Advisory Board Member Art Guzzetti. "A look at the track record clearly demonstrates the willingness of voters across the nation to support expanded choice and investment with their tax dollars." - Center for Transportation Excellence

And in an October 2007 poll, 49% of respondents thought that improving public transportation was the best long-term solution to reducing traffic in their area, compared to only 21% advocating the building of new roads. 88% approved of improved public transportation as a strategy to reduce energy use (62% strongly approved). And when asked what Congress's top transportation expenditure should be, more respondents (33%) prioritized expanding and improving public transit than those favoring expanding and improving roads (21%) (Source).

Yet despite such broad public support for expanding transit, less than half of the transit agencies which responded to the APTA survey have seen increases in state or local funding to help them cope with higher fuel/energy prices -- and 38% of agencies with buses have delayed or canceled planned service increases to help deal with their costs, as have 29% of agencies operating rail systems (Source). When will our governments begin to prioritize public transit so that we can convert drivers into transit riders, with all the social and environmental benefits that follow? When will we as citizens organize to hold them accountable for making those investments?
Further Reading:
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  • Posted on Aug. 19, 2008. Listed in:

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